Testing fleet strategies against an uncertain energy transition
Balancing transition risk and cost is central to developing robust fuel and technology strategies for the journey towards 2050. This year’s Maritime Forecast to 2050 outlines DNV’s framework for evaluating these trade-offs across both…
The scenario-based framework supports the assessment of transition risk and the identification of fuel and technology pathways that balance cost and risk at fleet level. The analysis shows that fleet strategies can perform very differently depending on how the energy transition unfolds, with markedly different outcomes across the defined slow- and rapid-transition scenarios.
“The case study also highlights how the cost and risk assessment outputs can be combined into an overall strategy score for more robust decision-making,” says Øyvind Sekkesæter, Senior Consultant at DNV and lead author of this year’s Maritime Forecast report.
Updating the framework for managing energy transition risk The case study involves an updated version of DNV’s three-step framework for integrating qualitative, non-monetary risks with financial modelling.
Step 1 defines potential fleet strategies, including outlining fuel choices, retrofits, and fleet renewal.
This story was originally published by Hellenic Shipping News. Read the full story at Hellenic Shipping News →
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